The coalition's four-decade dominance as the preferred party for overseeing Australia's economy has concluded.
Data from the Australian Election Study, conducted by Griffith University and the Australian National University, indicates that voters now have greater confidence in Labor’s economic strategies, resulting in the Coalition losing its longstanding lead.
According to the latest survey, which is set to be published on Wednesday, the Liberals recorded their lowest evaluation in the 2025 analysis. Their average score plummeted to 4.2 on a scale from zero to ten regarding public approval of the party.
Voters expressed a distinct preference for Anthony Albanese as their prime minister, while former opposition leader Peter Dutton saw his unpopularity set new lows during May’s federal elections.
“Dutton was recorded as the least favored leader of a major party since we started this study,” stated co-author Ian McAllister.
“Voters indicated that the qualities he largely failed to demonstrate were ‘inspiration,’ closely trailed by ‘compassion. ’”
The Australian Election Study has been conducted after each federal election since 1987.
The comprehensive report on the 2025 election is scheduled for release at Parliament House on Wednesday.
During the May federal election, the Coalition achieved its poorest election outcome, securing only 43 seats in the House of Representatives.
The findings of the study reveal that voter instability is rising, with 25 percent of respondents indicating they feel no close affiliation with any political party.
Co-author Sarah Cameron noted that the significant gender disparity that appeared in the last ten years has persisted.
“The Coalition received its lowest recorded percentage of votes from women, with nine percent fewer women voting for the Coalition compared to men,” she reported.
“In contrast, Labor garners a greater share of votes from women than from men.
“The gender disparity in Labor’s voting, at five percent, is approximately half that of the Coalition’s.”
There has also been a significant decline in trust regarding Australia’s connection with the US, with only 55 percent of voters expressing confidence that America would aid Australia in times of conflict, a drop from 73 percent in 2022.
These troubling findings emerge as the Coalition's primary vote fails to rise above record low levels in the most recent Newspoll data, which shows a majority of voters preferring Andrew Hastie as the opposition leader.
Labor maintains an advantage in the two-party preferred voting by 58 to 42 percent.
Opposition treasury spokesperson Ted O’Brien is expected to address this issue on Wednesday, outlining key principles of the Coalition’s economic strategy.
He will emphasize a renewed focus on intergenerational fairness while criticizing the declining levels of productivity.
“Currently, we are relying on the productivity advancements made by prior generations,” he will explain.
“The previous generation establishes the foundation; subsequently, you expand it for the upcoming generation. That’s the intergenerational commitment.
“However, this commitment is deteriorating. ”
During his speech, he will also reaffirm the Coalition’s pledges to reduce income taxes and reinstate a government spending limitation similar to one from the Howard era.
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